Publications

Ravela,S., 2014: A statistical theory of inference for coherent fluids. Lec. Notes. Comp. Sci., 8964

Aerts, C. J. H. J., W. J. W. Botzen, K. Emanuel, N. Lin, H. de Moel, and E. O. Michel-Kerjan, 2014: Evaluating flood resilience strategies for coastal megacities. Science, 344, 473-475.

Ravela, S., and K. Emanuel, 2013: Synthetic storm simulation for wind risk assessment. In Storm Surge Barriers to Protect New York City: Against the Deluge, D. Hill, M. J. Bowman, and J. S. Khinda, Editors, Amer. Soc. Civil Eng., pp. 15-37.

Neumann, J. E., K. A. Emanuel, S. Ravela, L. C. Ludwig, and C. Verly, 2013: Assessing the risk of cyclone-induced storm surge and sea level rise in Mozambique World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER) Working Paper 2013/36.

Zhu, L., S. M. Quiring, and K. A. Emanuel, 2013: Estimating tropical cyclone precipitation risk in Texas. Geophys. Res. Lett., 40, 6225-6230, doi:10.1002/2013GL058284. Further reproduction or electronic distribution is not permitted.

Strazzo, S., J. B. Elsner, J.C. Trapnier, and K. A. Emanuel, 2013: Frequency, intensity, and sensitivity to sea surface temperature of North Atlantic tropical cyclones in best-track and simulated data. J. Adv. Model. Earth Sys., 5, doi: 10.1002/jame.20036. Copyright 2013, American Geophysical Union. Further reproduction or electronic distribution is not permitted.

Emanuel, K.A., 2013: Downscaling CMIP5 climate models shows increased tropical cyclone activity over the 21st century. Proc. Nat. Acad. Sci., 110, doi/10.1073/pnas.1301293110.

Romero, R., and K. Emanuel, 2013: Medicane risk in a changing climate. J. Geophys. Res., 118, doi:10.1002/jgrd.50475. Copyright 2013, American Geophysical Union. Further reproduction or electronic distribution is not permitted.

Aerts, J. C. J. H., N. Lin, W. J. W. Botzen, K. Emanuel, and H. de Moel, 2013: Low-probability flood risk modeling for New York City. Risk Analysis, 33, DOI: 10.1111/risa.12008

Kozar, M. E., M. E. Mann, K. A. Emanuel, and J. L. Evans, 2013: Long-term variations of North Atlantic tropical cyclone activity downscaled from a coupled model simulation of the last millennium. J. Geophys. Res., 118, 13,383-13,392, doi:10.1002/2013JD020380. Copyright 2013, American Geophysical Union. Further reproduction or electronic distribution is not permitted.

Emanuel, K., F. Fondriest, and J. Kossin, 2012: Potential economic value of seasonal hurricane forecasts. Wea. Clim. Soc.,, 4, 110-117.

Lin, N., K. Emanuel, M. Oppenheimer, and E. Vanmarcke, 2012: Physically based assessment of hurricane surge threat under climate change. Nature Clim. Change,,doi:10.1038/nclimate1389.

Mendelsohn R., K. Emanuel, S. Chonabayashi, and L. Bakkensen, 2012: The impact of climate change on global tropical cyclone damage. Nature Clim. Change,, doi:10.1038/nclimate1357.

Klima, K., N. Lin, K. Emanuel, M. G. Morgan, and I Grossman, 2011: Hurricane modification and adaptation in Miami-Dade County, Florida. Environ. Sci. Technol.,., 45, doi: 10.1021/es202640p.

Klima, K., M. G. Morgan, I. Grossman, and K. Emanuel, 2011: Does it make sense to modify tropical cyclones? A decision-analytic assessment. Environ. Sci. Technol.,., 45, 4242-4248.

Emanuel, K., 2011: Global warming effects on U.S. hurricane damage. Wea. Clim. Soc.,, 3, 261-268.

Ravela, S. and K. Emanuel, 2010: Statistical Deterministic Approach to Hurricane Risk Assessment. US Patent 7,734,245

Emanuel, K., K. Oouchi, M. Satoh, T. Hirofumi, and Y. Yamada, 2010: Comparison of explicitly simulated and downscaled tropical cyclone activity in a high-resolution global climate model. J. Adv. Model. Earth Sys.,, 2, DOI:10.3894/JAMES.2010.2.9.

Lin, N., K. A. Emanuel, J. A. Smith, and E. A. Vanmarcke, 2010: Risk assessment of hurricane storm surge for New York City. J. Geophys. Res., 115, D18121, doi:10.1029/2009JD013630. Copyright 2010, American Geophysical Union. Further reproduction or electronic distribution is not permitted.

Federov, A. V., C. M. A. Breierly, and K. Emanuel, 2010: Tropical cyclones and permanent El Niño in the early Pliocene epoch. Nature, 463, 1066-1070.

Emanuel, K., 2010: Tropical Cyclone Activity Downscaled from NOAA-CIRES Reanalysis, 1908-1958. J. Adv. Model. Earth Syst., 2 , doi:10.3894/JAMES.2010.2.1.

Woodruff, J. D., J. P. Donnelly, K. Emanuel, and P. Lane, 2008: Assessing sedimentary records of paleohurricane activity using modeled hurricane climatology. Geochem. Geophys. Geosyst., 9, Q09V10, doi:10.1029/2008GC002043.

Emanuel, K., R. Sundararajan, and J. Williams, 2008: Hurricanes and global warming: Results from downscaling IPCC AR4 simulations. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 89, 347-367.

Emanuel, K., 2006: Climate and tropical cyclone activity: A new model downscaling approach. J. Climate, 19, 4797-4802.

Emanuel, K., S. A. Ravela, E. A. Vivant and C.A. Risi, 2006: A Statistical-Deterministic Approach to Hurricane Risk Assessment. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 87, 299-314. Online Supplement